2020 General Election Predictions

[C-Mag]

[Ph64]

[C-Mag]

States Poll does indie analysis, I think he got '16 right, here's how he sees it a week out


https://statespoll.com/post/63315884118 ... ollege-map

Here's his Final 2016 Map


Actual 2016

[C-Mag]

They are Faking the Polls

[C-Mag]

This looks more accurate than any of the polling to me

[C-Mag]

Some early voting numbers
John Nolte gave a rundown on early voting in states that Donald Trump won last time:

In Arizona, Democrats have a 6-point lead. They won by 13 points in 2016.

In Michigan, Republicans have a 2-point lead.

In Wisconsin, Republicans have a 5-point lead.

In Florida, Democrats have a 7-point lead. They won early voting by 1.5 points in 2016.

In Georgia, Republicans have a 7-point lead.

In Ohio, Republicans have a 9-point lead.

In North Carolina, Democrats have a 10-point lead. They won early voting by 13 points in 2016.



https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020 ... ee-points/

[Zlaxer]

Some early voting numbers
John Nolte gave a rundown on early voting in states that Donald Trump won last time:

In Arizona, Democrats have a 6-point lead. They won by 13 points in 2016.

In Michigan, Republicans have a 2-point lead.

In Wisconsin, Republicans have a 5-point lead.

In Florida, Democrats have a 7-point lead. They won early voting by 1.5 points in 2016.

In Georgia, Republicans have a 7-point lead.

In Ohio, Republicans have a 9-point lead.

In North Carolina, Democrats have a 10-point lead. They won early voting by 13 points in 2016.



https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020 ... ee-points/

They’re winning FL?

[AverageJoe]

Some early voting numbers
John Nolte gave a rundown on early voting in states that Donald Trump won last time:

In Arizona, Democrats have a 6-point lead. They won by 13 points in 2016.

In Michigan, Republicans have a 2-point lead.

In Wisconsin, Republicans have a 5-point lead.

In Florida, Democrats have a 7-point lead. They won early voting by 1.5 points in 2016.

In Georgia, Republicans have a 7-point lead.

In Ohio, Republicans have a 9-point lead.

In North Carolina, Democrats have a 10-point lead. They won early voting by 13 points in 2016.



https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020 ... ee-points/

They’re winning FL?

More like more registered Dems turned in their ballots already, as was planned. I do not equate that to winning by any stretch from what I'm seeing on the ground here.

[The Conservative]

Some early voting numbers
John Nolte gave a rundown on early voting in states that Donald Trump won last time:

In Arizona, Democrats have a 6-point lead. They won by 13 points in 2016.

In Michigan, Republicans have a 2-point lead.

In Wisconsin, Republicans have a 5-point lead.

In Florida, Democrats have a 7-point lead. They won early voting by 1.5 points in 2016.

In Georgia, Republicans have a 7-point lead.

In Ohio, Republicans have a 9-point lead.

In North Carolina, Democrats have a 10-point lead. They won early voting by 13 points in 2016.



https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020 ... ee-points/

They’re winning FL?

More like more registered Dems turned in their ballots already, as was planned. I do not equate that to winning by any stretch from what I'm seeing on the ground here.

I wonder how many people are regretting voting early for Biden now...

[Haumana]

Some early voting numbers
John Nolte gave a rundown on early voting in states that Donald Trump won last time:

In Arizona, Democrats have a 6-point lead. They won by 13 points in 2016.

In Michigan, Republicans have a 2-point lead.

In Wisconsin, Republicans have a 5-point lead.

In Florida, Democrats have a 7-point lead. They won early voting by 1.5 points in 2016.

In Georgia, Republicans have a 7-point lead.

In Ohio, Republicans have a 9-point lead.

In North Carolina, Democrats have a 10-point lead. They won early voting by 13 points in 2016.



https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020 ... ee-points/

Have you watched these guys? Barnes is an attorney but he is also a heavy gambler on elections. They really get into the weeds on polling. Kind of like the old guys at the track that break down the Daily Racing Form. They have some good insights though especially into the key weaknesses in the mainstream polls.

Wearing an overcoat to shield him from the mist in Dublin, Ireland, 42-year-old attorney Robert Barnes walked up to the counter of Paddy Power, a sports and gambling franchise. He pulled out 30,000 euros, and bet it all on Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump.

The odds were 4 to 1.

All day, while Americans waited in lines at polling places, Barnes stood in European betting lines until his pockets were empty and his hopes were high.

https://www.timesfreepress.com/news/loc ... in/398812/